TRYBE Presale vs. Casino Dividends: And The Winner Is ...
... you really wanna know the answer right now? No buddy, I'll at least try to make this comparison thrilling ;) To make this clear form the beginning: The following are all my observations of the current situation and are only my opinion. These are by no means any investment advices! Do your own research before investing into TRYBE, MEV, other casino dividend payout tokens or any investment.
During the last days I got caught up very much into the casino worlds. Calculations, payouts daily/weekly/at all..?!, new projects and dividends of different sizes flying around everywhere..! If you're interested in some of the latest casino payouts worth metioning take a look at my last article of this EOS Casino Games series. I also did a review on FunCity before that. From all of that I came to the conclusion that right now the best casino dividends - concerning the current ROI - is by far Royal Online Vegas (MEV). If you simplify and take the recent cheapest prices (at 0.0100) the ROI was 54%(!) from my calculations. Right before the staking period end at this saturday the price went up like crazy to 0.0180 at the highest point. If you take that highest price from that day it was "only" still 27% ROI. When I was calculating it before I was only expecting like 16% which was already really huge for one week! For now this looks also looks much better than the expected ROI from BetDice which is already always been good and steadily growing so far. This looks even great compared to new projects like EOSLuckyMe who have a really nice payout of their first dividend period with over 40% ROI in the first payouts (which will now decline every day a little until all the initial over 10,000 EOS will then be paid out).
Okay the current winners concerning the observations of the recent ROI's from casino dividends is clear. But wait a minute what's about TRYBE..?!
Yeah, we get that now :) When I was thinking about calculating this and finding reasons how to explain it simple, I got remembered at the legend story that goes back to the inventor of the chessboard game (Sissa ibn Dahir):
The inventor was granted a free wish by his ruler for this invention. His choice was: only one grain on the first field of a chessboard. On the second the double quantity of it, thus two. On the third again the double set, i.e. four. etc. until the whole board is full. The king only laughed and was rather angry about the seemingly false modesty. When the king's arithmetic masters had finished, they came to the following conclusion: 18,446,744,073,709,551,615 Finally, one could only conclude that the king could not pay this amount in full.
This is an example of how the human mind can hardly understand what exponential growth is. One of the best ways is trying to visualize it. Look at the numbers stacking up presented here ...:
... or the visualization of it in Pie Charts:
chart created with http://app.rawgraphs.io/
I hope you know where I'm heading with this ... to the coming airdrops on TRYBE! Okay, you might probably not get 100% more tokens from every airdrop. But as Tom Norwood from TRYBE showed in one of his posts you can expect probably around 20% - 40% more tokens on the second airdrop from 10 million TRYBE tokens on the 11th of december. So in a way these upcoming airdrops are a bit like a small version of this chessboard rice legend example. Because if you have many tokens in the beginning (especially before the 30th of Nevember and on the second "big" one on the 11. of December) it helps you the most later!
In order trying to relate this more fitting to the upcoming TRYBE airdrops I made a visualization using only the following numbers to get a feel for how this exponential growth will be with 20%:
20% because it's the lowest number that TRYBE estimated at the second airdrop. In future these numbers may decrease because of different factors like people joining or people gathering lots of TRYBE. But to get an approximate feel for how this would turn out with allways 20% more at only 12 steps look at this:
chart created with http://app.rawgraphs.io/
I guess the lesson from all of this visualization should be: It helps to get in earlier than later! If you see it l like a game where you have to gain much it is an advantage to simply be in with much before the first airdrop rather than the second and so on. Because the sooner you get it in and secure your share, the more you will have bringing in later to get more tokens.
All in all this of course only a rough estimate, don't count on it that exact way..! It will sure be more or less or decrease/increase concerning different factors.
And remember: This is only the projection of the amount of tokens gathered through upcoming airdrops! This means the price of TRYBE will of course also influence the expected ROI. Like stated in the advertisement: You can buy at 0.01$ now in the presale and prices are already being higher right now on exchanges (at 0.02$ sometimes). Imagine how the price may develop if the presale ends someday and TRYBE gets to the size of STEEMIT or something similar.
Concerning all these good upcoming developments that are planned already I think it also doesn't really matter that the price of EOS is down like that. A chance like that in a current market situation like that can also be a reason to shift some of your assets to rearrange your portfolio. Even if they decreased in value, now there's now at least a chance for very good-looking future potentials with TRYBE. Didn't do any big calculations on that but I guess waiting until the EOS price goes up with the intention of buying TRYBE in presale on a later point is probably not better than buying now because of the model I presented above. At least in view of the bigger picture/long term..!
For me knowing how valuable content is and how much more worth good content will be in the future I think we don't have to discuss how awesome TRYBE has already put his feet into the global content market. And we are witnessing only the beginnings!
So with all this being said I think it's gotten pretty clear to me that it seems to make the most sense getting as much TRYBE as possible until the first airdrop on the end of this month - maybe even with FIAT money / EOS through the presale. The following airdrop on the 11. of December is also important - of course - and all following after that. But the most important ones are the first one (1M) and the second (10M) because of it's bigger value - by math.
So in the end, you still wanna know who's my winner. I almost got out of this by distracting you talking about the chessboard & Co. .. ;) Honestly I think it makes sense to get both - who wouldn't have thought that! :) But well to concrete the winner for me is TRYBE! Because the TRYBE airdrops are a bit like the explained "Wheat and chessboard problem". I guess it makes sense to get the most possible before the start of the airdrops. Therefore, I think my best choice is to get only TRYBE now!
TRYBE always promoted before they made any of the detailed information public that the early users of TRYBE would profit the most. I think by all respect to not giving any advices this just my analyze of a great chance for everybody already being involved in TRYBE here right now!
These are all my observations of the current situation and are only my opinion. These are by no means any investment advices! Do your own research before investing into TRYBE, MEV, other casino dividend payout tokens or any investment.
Pie charts created with http://app.rawgraphs.io/
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